Why would the National Party, newly wedded to its emissions target of â€œ50 in 50
The NZ Climate “Science” Coalition updates its web site with a shiny new look, and new articles from David Bellamy and Vincent Gray. Dr Gray’s NZ Climate & Enviro Truth Newsletter #150 isn’t very interesting, being mainly devoted to one of his perennial hobbyhorses – the IPCC and prediction versus projection – but it does give him the chance to vent some anti-environmentalist spleen:
“Biodiversity” is another environmentalist absurdity. It seeks to claim that there is some sort of moral superiority in actual numbers of species present in an ecosystem…
…Then we have the fraud of “endangered” species. There is no record of any one of them ever becoming actually extinct. I tried asking Google for a list of organisms that had recently become extinct. The number was very small, about the same as for the past 400 years.
Breathtaking stuff. Meanwhile, the whiskery botanist indulges in a few favourite sceptic tropes, before ending on a clearly heartfelt plea
New Zealand leads the world in the eradication of feral plants and animals making restoration of the natural ecosystems that kept the biosphere in balance long before the IPCC was invented. Habitat destruction and the loss of biodiversity is one of the greatest threats to climate and landscape stability. I beg your government to continue to lead the world in this sustainable endeavour.
Bellamy manages to use all the words Gray hates in a couple of sentences. Clearly climate crankdom is a broad church…
A few weeks ago, our beloved Climate â€œScience
Sometimes the antics of New Zealand’s band of climate cranks, the self-styled Climate Science Coalition, reduce me to tears. More often they make me laugh. Today’s example of their tomfoolery [PDF] has had me chuckling for hours. Dr Vincent Gray, a former coal researcher and leading light of the NZ CSC, hasn’t published any peer-reviewed papers on climate science (he’s had a few in Energy & Environment, but that doesn’t count). He claims to be a â€œclimate consultant” and an “Â€Âœexpert reviewer for the IPCC”, but that doesn’t seem to stop him from spouting nonsense. His latest paper claims:
It is quite impossible to obtain a statistically or scientifically acceptable estimate of mean global temperature or its variability over time, from readings on the earth’s surface.
The oceans constitute 71% of the earth’Â€Â™s surface, but sea surface temperature measurements suffer from error to a greater degree than measurements on land.
…but he then proceeds to use satellite records of ocean temperatures, excluding land, because…
The “Â€ÂœLand” [sic: a typo, he means ocean] record is shown in Figure 2 as it ignores variability specific to land surfaces, but still applies to 71% of the earth.
Funnily enough, he doesn’t find much of a warming trend. If he had used the latest combined land and ocean data he would have had to admit that the satellite record showed warming at 0.18ÂºK per decade – slap in the middle of all modern estimates of increases in the global average. But he ignores that inconvenient truth and soldiers on, to finish with a magnificent assertion completely unsupported by the preceding argument:
Reliable global, regional and local temperature records show that temperatures variability is cyclic, with a period of about 60 years. The temperature does not display a distinguishable Â€Âœtrend. The most reliable records show peak temperatures around 1940 and 2005 and low temperatures around 1910 and 1970. These records are incompatible with a belief that there is a distinguishable upwards Â€ÂœtrendÂ€Â™ caused by greenhouse gas emissions.
So if we ignore all the evidence that the world is getting warmer, that means that it can’t be getting warmer. I wonder which windmill Dr Vincent will tilt at next? And who is his Sancho Panza? Not the august personage himself, surely?
According to the Timaru Herald, Augie Auer has comprehensively “debunked” global warming:
Climate change will be considered a joke in five years time, meteorologist Augie Auer told the annual meeting of Mid Canterbury Federated Farmers in Ashburton this week. Man’s contribution to the greenhouse gases was so small we couldn’t change the climate if we tried, he maintained. “We’re all going to survive this. It’s all going to be a joke in five years,” he said.
Phew, that’s a relief.
Or is it? Let’s have a look at what NZ’s most prominent sceptic is arguing.