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	<title>Comments on: I&#8217;m wrong about everything</title>
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	<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=im-wrong-about-everything</link>
	<description>Global warming and the future of New Zealand</description>
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		<title>By: Gareth</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3204</link>
		<dc:creator>Gareth</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:35:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3204</guid>
		<description>As promised in my most recent post, I have started up a forum for this (and other) discussions on climate issues. Please take this debate over to the forum &lt;a href=&quot;http://hot-topic.co.nz/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&amp;t=4&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;.

I&#039;m now closing comments on this post - it&#039;s getting way too long and unwieldy. But don&#039;t let that stop you talking...  8-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As promised in my most recent post, I have started up a forum for this (and other) discussions on climate issues. Please take this debate over to the forum <a href="http://hot-topic.co.nz/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&#038;t=4" rel="nofollow">here</a>.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m now closing comments on this post &#8211; it&#8217;s getting way too long and unwieldy. But don&#8217;t let that stop you talking&#8230;  <img src='http://hot-topic.co.nz/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: Tushara</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3203</link>
		<dc:creator>Tushara</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:33:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3203</guid>
		<description>Rounding off? If you were a chemist, you would not round off; you would know that rounding off always leads to the loss of numeric information. 

If you go down this path, you end up getting things wrong. You should do a basic analytical chemistry course, then you can improve your understanding of chemistry. 

CO2 is denser than dry air, this is established.  However, in air, its molecular weight is 0.016. Do you disagree with this?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Rounding off? If you were a chemist, you would not round off; you would know that rounding off always leads to the loss of numeric information. </p>
<p>If you go down this path, you end up getting things wrong. You should do a basic analytical chemistry course, then you can improve your understanding of chemistry. </p>
<p>CO2 is denser than dry air, this is established.  However, in air, its molecular weight is 0.016. Do you disagree with this?</p>
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		<title>By: Carol Stewart</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3202</link>
		<dc:creator>Carol Stewart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:32:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3202</guid>
		<description>Thank you, Roger. I appreciate your response.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thank you, Roger. I appreciate your response.</p>
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		<title>By: Carol Stewart</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3201</link>
		<dc:creator>Carol Stewart</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:28:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3201</guid>
		<description>But Ken, seriously, and just leaving out the gratuitous abuse for a minute, you specifically said that the atmosphere could be saturated with CO2, such that the excess would drop out, and so therefore you can only reach a maximum level in the atmosphere (I think you said in the range of 300-400 ppm).

I did actually read the links you provided, and I still can&#039;t find anywhere where this is mentioned. I did note the material on absorption, but this is a different matter to asserting that the levels of CO2 can be capped in the atmosphere. 

I am genuinely curious how you think the atmosphere can be saturated with carbon dioxide, and I would appreciate it if you could find the specific place where this is mentioned. 

Does anyone else have an opinion on this?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But Ken, seriously, and just leaving out the gratuitous abuse for a minute, you specifically said that the atmosphere could be saturated with CO2, such that the excess would drop out, and so therefore you can only reach a maximum level in the atmosphere (I think you said in the range of 300-400 ppm).</p>
<p>I did actually read the links you provided, and I still can&#8217;t find anywhere where this is mentioned. I did note the material on absorption, but this is a different matter to asserting that the levels of CO2 can be capped in the atmosphere. </p>
<p>I am genuinely curious how you think the atmosphere can be saturated with carbon dioxide, and I would appreciate it if you could find the specific place where this is mentioned. </p>
<p>Does anyone else have an opinion on this?</p>
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		<title>By: Roger Dewhurst</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3200</link>
		<dc:creator>Roger Dewhurst</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:27:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3200</guid>
		<description>Carol Stewart 10.15.08 at 10:44 am

    &gt;Roger, can we agree on what consitutes reliable knowledge?
    For me it is peer-reviewed science. This process is robust and self-correcting, and leads to an agreed-upon body of knowledge that is a foundation to be built on. 

In principle, yes.  However it is necessary that the peer review is real peer review and not just Mann style peer review in which a handful of individuals have a cosy agreement to rubber stamp each others&#039; papers.  A similar process occurs with Wikipedia in which one &#039;Stoat&#039; Connolley, who is one of the Mann clique, has control of all the Wikipedia articles on climate.  The way in which he has done this has been described to me by a Wikipedia fisheries editor who has taken no side whatever on AGW.  The publish or perish culture has been around in academic circles for as long as I can remember and doubtless long before that.  That puts much pressure on researchers to conform.  Then we have the pressure applied through grants.  Are you naive enough to believe that a junior academic in VUW, for example, is going to get a grant for a line of research which might throw doubt on the position taken by Manning and Barratt?

   &gt;Can you help shed any light on Kenâ€™s assertion that the atmosphere can become saturated with CO2, such that the excess just â€˜drops outâ€™?

My enquiries lead me to suspect that Ken Ring is barking up the wrong tree in THIS instance.  I am however generally aware that there is persuasive argument supporting a logarithmic relationship between the carbon dioxide tenor in the atmosphere and the heating resulting from it.  The effect of this is an approximation to Ken Ring&#039;s assertion that there is a saturation level.  However there are other areas where my interests and experience are better applied.  For example I have devoted quite a lot of time to groundwater models and geophysical models.  There keep me mindful of what is known in geoelectrical sounding as &#039;the principle of equivalence&#039;.  Firstly more mathematical modelling there MUST be equations which FULLY describe that which is being modelled.  This applies in the case of groundwater, geoelectric sounding and seismic refraction, all of which I am sufficiently familiar with.  The more layers in the ground or the more anisotropic the permeability is the more solutions will fit the available data.  In comparison with climate models the ones I have described have relatively few variables and the mathematics is fully understood.
In the case of climate models many of the variables and feedbacks are unknown and most cannot be reduced to equations which can be inserted in the algorithm which forms the core of the numerical model.  I concede that there are physical climatic processes which can be described mathematically and which can be used in algorithms.  However since climate is not driven solely by these describable physical processes the climatic models constructed on them are and must be inherently faulty.

When I observe that the climate does not correlate with CO2 and the models fail to predict the climate my belief in the inherent faults in climatic models is re-inforced.

Of course the whole AGW thing conflicts totally with my long term geological perspective of climate change.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Carol Stewart 10.15.08 at 10:44 am</p>
<p>    &gt;Roger, can we agree on what consitutes reliable knowledge?<br />
    For me it is peer-reviewed science. This process is robust and self-correcting, and leads to an agreed-upon body of knowledge that is a foundation to be built on. </p>
<p>In principle, yes.  However it is necessary that the peer review is real peer review and not just Mann style peer review in which a handful of individuals have a cosy agreement to rubber stamp each others&#8217; papers.  A similar process occurs with Wikipedia in which one &#8216;Stoat&#8217; Connolley, who is one of the Mann clique, has control of all the Wikipedia articles on climate.  The way in which he has done this has been described to me by a Wikipedia fisheries editor who has taken no side whatever on AGW.  The publish or perish culture has been around in academic circles for as long as I can remember and doubtless long before that.  That puts much pressure on researchers to conform.  Then we have the pressure applied through grants.  Are you naive enough to believe that a junior academic in VUW, for example, is going to get a grant for a line of research which might throw doubt on the position taken by Manning and Barratt?</p>
<p>   &gt;Can you help shed any light on Kenâ€™s assertion that the atmosphere can become saturated with CO2, such that the excess just â€˜drops outâ€™?</p>
<p>My enquiries lead me to suspect that Ken Ring is barking up the wrong tree in THIS instance.  I am however generally aware that there is persuasive argument supporting a logarithmic relationship between the carbon dioxide tenor in the atmosphere and the heating resulting from it.  The effect of this is an approximation to Ken Ring&#8217;s assertion that there is a saturation level.  However there are other areas where my interests and experience are better applied.  For example I have devoted quite a lot of time to groundwater models and geophysical models.  There keep me mindful of what is known in geoelectrical sounding as &#8216;the principle of equivalence&#8217;.  Firstly more mathematical modelling there MUST be equations which FULLY describe that which is being modelled.  This applies in the case of groundwater, geoelectric sounding and seismic refraction, all of which I am sufficiently familiar with.  The more layers in the ground or the more anisotropic the permeability is the more solutions will fit the available data.  In comparison with climate models the ones I have described have relatively few variables and the mathematics is fully understood.<br />
In the case of climate models many of the variables and feedbacks are unknown and most cannot be reduced to equations which can be inserted in the algorithm which forms the core of the numerical model.  I concede that there are physical climatic processes which can be described mathematically and which can be used in algorithms.  However since climate is not driven solely by these describable physical processes the climatic models constructed on them are and must be inherently faulty.</p>
<p>When I observe that the climate does not correlate with CO2 and the models fail to predict the climate my belief in the inherent faults in climatic models is re-inforced.</p>
<p>Of course the whole AGW thing conflicts totally with my long term geological perspective of climate change.</p>
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		<title>By: Tushara</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3199</link>
		<dc:creator>Tushara</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:23:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3199</guid>
		<description>&quot;The cup of air will have only an infinitesmal trace of CO2, 3 parts per 10,000. It will be 99% CO2-free. Statistically rounded off, in this case you will be comparing weights of CO2 to CO2-free air, arguably a valid comparison.&quot; (

Of course you can compare CO2 to dry air. You cannot exclude CO2 from air, no matter if it is infinitesimal. Its molecular weight is around 0.016 (out of the 29 molecular mass of air). 

What is your point here? 

My point is that you are incorrect to say the CO2 is twice as heavier of air.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The cup of air will have only an infinitesmal trace of CO2, 3 parts per 10,000. It will be 99% CO2-free. Statistically rounded off, in this case you will be comparing weights of CO2 to CO2-free air, arguably a valid comparison.&#8221; (</p>
<p>Of course you can compare CO2 to dry air. You cannot exclude CO2 from air, no matter if it is infinitesimal. Its molecular weight is around 0.016 (out of the 29 molecular mass of air). </p>
<p>What is your point here? </p>
<p>My point is that you are incorrect to say the CO2 is twice as heavier of air.</p>
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		<title>By: Ken Ring</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3198</link>
		<dc:creator>Ken Ring</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:19:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3198</guid>
		<description>Tushara
Ah, if you were a mathematician you would know that 1.5 rounds off to 2. So, red herrings aside, you don&#039;t now deny that CO2 is heavier than air? Or you do - which is it?
Ken</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Tushara<br />
Ah, if you were a mathematician you would know that 1.5 rounds off to 2. So, red herrings aside, you don&#8217;t now deny that CO2 is heavier than air? Or you do &#8211; which is it?<br />
Ken</p>
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		<title>By: Ken Ring</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3197</link>
		<dc:creator>Ken Ring</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:16:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3197</guid>
		<description>Carol
Obviously nothing will convince you. I have supplied two science linksand their extracts, setting out in plain English the saturation figures. You chose by your own admission not to read them thoroughly, claiming that because they countered the IPCC claims they must therefore be wrong. Very scientific of you. 
The one piece of hopeful news was &quot;I have work to do, so goodbye for a while.&quot; Seems this was shortlived - I observed 19 minutes between your posts of 502 and 504.  
Ken Ring
www.predictweather.com</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Carol<br />
Obviously nothing will convince you. I have supplied two science linksand their extracts, setting out in plain English the saturation figures. You chose by your own admission not to read them thoroughly, claiming that because they countered the IPCC claims they must therefore be wrong. Very scientific of you.<br />
The one piece of hopeful news was &#8220;I have work to do, so goodbye for a while.&#8221; Seems this was shortlived &#8211; I observed 19 minutes between your posts of 502 and 504.<br />
Ken Ring<br />
<a href="http://www.predictweather.com" rel="nofollow">http://www.predictweather.com</a></p>
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		<title>By: Tushara</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3196</link>
		<dc:creator>Tushara</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:11:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3196</guid>
		<description>I am a chemist, (BSc) . I also know that 29 * 2 = 58 and 44 / 2 = 22.

This is not twice as much, but 1.5 as much. I think your maths is a bit off here.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am a chemist, (BSc) . I also know that 29 * 2 = 58 and 44 / 2 = 22.</p>
<p>This is not twice as much, but 1.5 as much. I think your maths is a bit off here.</p>
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		<title>By: Ken Ring</title>
		<link>http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/comment-page-6/#comment-3195</link>
		<dc:creator>Ken Ring</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Oct 2008 22:06:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://hot-topic.co.nz/im-wrong-about-everything/#comment-3195</guid>
		<description>Further to Tushara&#039;s query
The cup of air will have only an infinitesmal trace of CO2, 3 parts per 10,000. It will be 99% CO2-free.  Statistically rounded off, in this case you will be comparing weights of CO2 to CO2-free air, arguably a valid comparison.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Further to Tushara&#8217;s query<br />
The cup of air will have only an infinitesmal trace of CO2, 3 parts per 10,000. It will be 99% CO2-free.  Statistically rounded off, in this case you will be comparing weights of CO2 to CO2-free air, arguably a valid comparison.</p>
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